ANALISIS PERBEDAAN ANTARA HARGA PREDIKSI MENURUT MAINCHART-ADX DENGAN HARGA SAHAM AKTUAL (Kasus PT Astra Agro Lestari,Tbk Periode 2011)

Arifin, Hasan and Iskandar, Zulkarnain (2012) ANALISIS PERBEDAAN ANTARA HARGA PREDIKSI MENURUT MAINCHART-ADX DENGAN HARGA SAHAM AKTUAL (Kasus PT Astra Agro Lestari,Tbk Periode 2011). Undergraduated thesis, Fakultas Ekonomi UNIB.

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Abstract

This research focuses on technical analysis using Main Chart-Average Directional Index (ADX) conducted to determine wether there is a difference between the price predictions with the actual stock prices so that investor can predict when to buy and sell a stock company. Object of study taken in this study is that PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk, with daily stock price movement data (daily price movement) during the first year of trading in the time interval 5 January 2010-30 December 2011. AALI stock movement data obtained from eTrading HOTS Daewoo Securities is one of the Faculty of Economics broker partners in conducting studies on investment and stock trading education. By analyzing the data movement AALI stock prices in the period of 1 year of data will appear 14 image signal and the intersection of the lines showing the ADX Uptrend and Downtrend . In addition, this study also compares whether there is a difference between the price predictions generated by the current stock price. Then carried out two different test mean (paired samples t test) with a significant level of 5%. This study shows that the trend pattern occurred 7 times the stock price uptrend and 7 times the stock price downtrend. Once that was done between the different test predictions of the stock price Mainchart and ADX according to the actual share price the two banks with the help of SPSS software 15.00 for windows so that at the hypothesis test can be concluded that the null hypothesis which states pediksi stock prices do not differ from the actual stock price.

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