ANALISIS PERBEDAAN ANTARA HARGA PREDIKSI MENURUT MAINCHART-ADX DENGAN HARGA SAHAM AKTUAL (Kasus PT Astra Agro Lestari,Tbk Periode 2011)

This research focuses on technical analysis using Main Chart-Average Directional
Index (ADX) conducted to determine wether there is a difference between the price
predictions with the actual stock prices so that investor can predict when to buy and sell a
stock company. Object of study taken in this study is that PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk, with
daily stock price movement data (daily price movement) during the first year of trading in the
time interval 5 January 2010-30 December 2011. AALI stock movement data obtained from
eTrading HOTS Daewoo Securities is one of the Faculty of Economics broker partners in
conducting studies on investment and stock trading education. By analyzing the data
movement AALI stock prices in the period of 1 year of data will appear 14 image signal and
the intersection of the lines showing the ADX Uptrend and Downtrend . In addition, this
study also compares whether there is a difference between the price predictions generated by
the current stock price. Then carried out two different test mean (paired samples t test) with a
significant level of 5%. This study shows that the trend pattern occurred 7 times the stock
price uptrend and 7 times the stock price downtrend. Once that was done between the
different test predictions of the stock price Mainchart and ADX according to the actual share
price the two banks with the help of SPSS software 15.00 for windows so that at the
hypothesis test can be concluded that the null hypothesis which states pediksi stock prices do
not differ from the actual stock price.